Several hurricanes expected this season - WMC Action News 5 - Memphis, Tennessee

Several hurricanes expected this season

Source: WMC Action News 5 Source: WMC Action News 5

The Atlantic hurricane season doesn't officially begin until June 1, but there has already been a hurricane and tropical storm well before the normal start date. Due to the unusually early occurrence of tropical systems this year, many people are wondering if this hints to an active 2016 hurricane season. 

According to NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, this Atlantic hurricane season is expected to be near normal. Typically, there are 12 named storms from June to November. However, NOAA is predicting 10 to 16 named storms with 4 to 8 of those expected to be hurricanes. They are also anticipating for up to four of those to be strong hurricanes of category 3 or higher. 

One thing to keep in mind with these numbers is that they are NOT directly related to U.S. landfall. There's a chance that none of the named storms will reach our country. Typically, one or two hurricanes will make landfall in the U.S. each season. 

The last few years had below normal hurricane seasons, so this year could possibly feature more hurricanes than the past several years. 

Several factors will contribute to the number of hurricanes this season. There are indications that the strong El Nino could transition to a La Nina at the peak of hurricane season in August. Typically, a La Nina pattern results in a more active Atlantic hurricane season. 

Since the Mid-South is located far away from the coast, we typically only have minimal effects from tropical storms and hurricanes. However, a tropical system that makes landfall in the Gulf of Mexico could move into our area as a low pressure system and result in high rainfall totals. This is the main reason why the First Alert Weather Team keeps an eye on tropical systems.

What do you think about NOAA's predictions? Tweet me or contact me on Facebook with your hurricane forecast! 

Brittney Bryant
WMC Action News 5 Meteorologist
First Alert Storm Tracking Team
Facebook: Meteorologist Brittney Bryant
Twitter: @WX_BrittneyB

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