Breakdown: Why November snow is rare in the Mid-South

Breakdown: Why November snow is rare in the Mid-South

MEMPHIS, TN (WMC) - The four-letter S-word… Snow. Forecasting snow in the Mid-South can be very difficult, let alone forecasting it in the month of November!

Let’s talk about the setup of this rare November snow. Cold upper level temperatures and very high amounts of moisture will work together to give the Mid-South our chance for seeing the white stuff as we wrap up the Fall Season.

Right now, the latest models still show a dusting to one inch of snow possible with locations north of Interstate 40 and mainly along the Mississippi River being the target area to see snow.

November Snow 2018
November Snow 2018 (Source: WMC Action News 5)

To achieve November snow, the moisture and cold air must match up perfectly and all indications are this is going to occur.

Our average first snow date in Memphis is usually around January 2nd, so this November snow chance is ahead of schedule.

Memphis Facts for November Snow
Memphis Facts for November Snow (Source: maxuser)

We crunched some numbers and it has snowed in Memphis 25 times in the month of November. With the last snow date being just .3” back in 2014.

The earliest snow in November, well that was on November the 2nd back in 1951. The most ever snow in November, nearly 5” back in 1929.

Snow facts for Memphis in November
Snow facts for Memphis in November (Source: maxuser)

While it does not look like we will be breaking any records for snow in November with this upcoming event, this rare snow chance can happen when all parameters line up in the 11th month of the year.

Keep it with the WMC Action News 5 and the First Alert Weather Team for the latest on changing Mid-South weather conditions.

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