MEMPHIS, Tenn. (WMC) - May 22 was the last time we had any measurable rainfall in the Mid-South. We were in a dry pattern as an area of high pressure that sat along the Gulf of Mexico kept rain and storms away from us, but it unfortunately kept a persistent stormy pattern for parts of the Plains states.
This was the set-up from mid May through the end of May.
The pattern is shifting and now we are facing the potential for widespread rain by the end of the week. Rain chances have already started to creep up but chances will be on the high side Thursday through Saturday.
The showers that we see before Thursday are due to a stationary boundary to our south that will lift north across our area as a warm front today. This particular set up won’t bring widespread rain but a low pressure in the western Gulf could bring a more substantial rainfall.
The low pressure system in the western Gulf is not likely to develop into a Tropical Depression; however, it will pull up plenty of Gulf moisture by Thursday and through Saturday. Rain totals will vary across the Mid-South. but there could be some localized flooding and some locally higher amounts where heavy pockets of rain sets up.
Rain chances will start to go down Sunday but as the system exits there will still be lingering showers Sunday. Monday could be the day we finally dry out. We will continue to monitor this system as it starts to move onshore.