Thursday is a First Alert Weather Day: Severe storms with wind or a few tornadoes possible

Thursday is a First Alert Weather day -- Wednesday update from Meteorologist Spencer Denton

MEMPHIS, Tenn. (WMC) - Thursday is a FIRST ALERT WEATHER DAY. The Storm Prediction Center has placed a portion of the Mid-South in a MODERATE Risk of severe weather (4 out of 5) for Thursday. This means isolated to scattered severe storms are possible with high wind or a tornado.

Watch a live update from Meteorologist Spencer Denton above or click here to watch in the app.

Most of northwest Tennessee and northeast Arkansas are under an ENHANCED Risk (3 out of 5). This is a medium level risk with scattered storms capable of high wind and a lower end risk of a brief tornado.

WHEN: The first round of rain and storms will move through between 1 AM and 8 AM Thursday and the second round of isolated storms will move through between 1 and 5 PM.

SPC Risk
SPC Risk (Source: WMC)

If the round in the morning lingers longer, it could limit the severe threat some in the afternoon. The main threat in the early morning is heavy rain, wind and lightning.

Thursday Morning Storms
Thursday Morning Storms (Source: WMC)

The air will be warm and unstable as a low pressure and cold front approaches and tracks across the Mid-South. This could provide more energy for storm development and could enhance the severe threat in the afternoon hours with isolated supercell storms possible, mainly in northeast Mississippi and west Tennessee.

Low pressure tracking across the area
Low pressure tracking across the area (Source: WMC Futurecast)

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First Alert Weather App
First Alert Weather App (Source: WMC)

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